Conflict

Iran and the Middle East conflict

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The full picture

Tensions in the Middle East are rising as Iran faces new travel restrictions, Houthi attacks continue in Yemen, and U.S. political debate over the war intensifies.

Why it matters to you
  • People in Iran are facing travel chaos as flights to major hubs like Dubai are suspended and shipping routes are blocked, making it harder to move goods and people. source

  • In Yemen, over 132,000 people have been forced to leave their homes due to fighting, creating a growing humanitarian crisis where basic needs like food and safety are at risk. source

  • The conflict is affecting U.S. politics, with lawmakers debating the war's cost and impact on prices, which could influence upcoming elections. source

Different sides
  • Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian

    He claims Iran does not want to keep fighting and that it is up to the United States to end the war.

    source
  • U.S. Senate

    A majority of senators voted against a resolution to end the war, though some members are breaking from party leadership to call for a quick end.

    source
What happened
  1. Iran's President says the U.S. must choose to end the war. source

  2. The U.S. Senate narrowly votes down a resolution to end the war in Iran. source

  3. Saudi Arabia reports new Houthi missile attacks, prompting France to offer military support. source

  4. New U.S. sanctions cause travel and shipping chaos for Iran. source

See full history · 67 stories Hide full history
  1. Are global stock markets heading for a crash? source

    Economies thrown into renewed turmoil as AI debt, Iran war and soaring government bond yields fuel alarmAt the height of the summer, the mood was optimistic in the world’s financial capitals. Powered by the AI revolution, the US stock market had rallied to a fresh all-time high, as investors bet the multitrillion-dolla

    The Guardian
  2. Sen. Jon Husted: Iran war ‘needs to come to an end as quickly as possible’ source

    His comments follow Senate candidates Ashley Hinson and Mike Rogers breaking from Trump on the conflict, as GOP panic grows over high prices.

    Politico
  3. Trump says he backs diesel export ban to curb soaring energy costs source

    But industry trade group says plan would backfire and lead to even higher prices for gasolineDonald Trump on Tuesday said he backed ⁠the idea of a ban on diesel exports, which some US politicians are calling for ⁠as a way ⁠to curb ​the soaring cost of energy.Diesel prices have rallied in Europe and the US to ⁠record hi

    The Guardian
  4. Our message to global leaders: we need solar power everywhere by the decade’s end | Open letter source

    As the UN gathers, signatories from Bernie Sanders to Yeb Saño issue an open letter calling for clean power for allThe climate fight has one great ally. You just can’t look at it directly
We the undersigned write this letter out of great fear and great hope.Over the last few months, we’ve seen the world set ablaze by b

    The Guardian
  5. Trump Says He Supports Banning Diesel Exports to Bring Down Prices source

    Diesel prices have been setting records because of the war in Iran, but the oil industry say banning U.S. exports would not make the fuel cheaper.

    New York Times
  6. Iran's president tells Trump it will never 'bend the knee' source

    Masoud Pezeshkian's defiant speech to the UN comes after the US president threatened to "annihilate" Iran if a peace deal is not agreed soon.

    BBC News
  7. Florida Files Lawsuit Against The New York Times source

    The state’s attorney general demanded access to company records to examine how the newspaper’s board oversees editorial standards amid claims of anti-Israel bias.

    New York Times
  8. Syrian leader lashes out at Israel in UN speech, says Golan is inseparable part of Syria source

    Syria's leader has lashed out at Israel in a speech to the United Nations General Assembly

    ABC News
  9. Benjamin Netanyahu to deliver defiant UN speech while facing protests and political isolation source

    Prime minister will ‘highlight Israel’s achievements’ as he heads towards his toughest re-election challengeWhen he takes the stage at the UN on Thursday, Benjamin Netanyahu will deliver a familiar message of defiance even as protests and international condemnation leave the Israeli leader in growing isolation.Netanyah

    The Guardian
  10. Global release announced for acclaimed Gaza documentary NAZA source

    Theatrical rollout across 56 territories planned for documentary about Israel’s mass killing of civilians in Gaza before film will stream on Guardian websiteNAZA, the award-winning documentary from Israeli film-makers Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor, is set to be released in cinemas inmore than 50 countries before a digi

    The Guardian
  11. Trump Aides Seek to Jump-Start Diplomacy With Iran as Crisis Widens source

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that U.S. negotiators had restarted conversations about Iran’s nuclear program, but that there were no breakthroughs.

    New York Times
  12. WATCH: Senate rejects war powers resolution to halt military action in Iran as gas prices upend midterms source

    The Senate tally, 49-50, coming days after Trump's bombastic address to the United Nations in which he threatened to "annihilate" Iran, was likely the last chance for lawmakers to go on record about the war ahead of November.

    PBS
  13. Family of Iranian twins sentenced to death and decades in jail ask UN for help source

    Taraneh and Romina Rahimi were charged with ‘waging war against God’ after joining protests against Tehran regimeThe family of 21-year-old twins who have been sentenced respectively to death and decades in jail for protesting against the Iranian regime have appealed to the United Nations for help.A formal “submission o

    The Guardian
  14. Arab parties denounce ban from Israel’s October election source

    Al Jazeera
  15. Son of Israeli Ambassador to U.S. Critically Hurt in West Bank Attack, Officials Say source

    Neria Leiter, a reserve soldier, sustained life-threatening injuries after a Palestinian man drove into a military checkpoint in the West Bank, the Israeli military said.

    New York Times
  16. Beleaguered at Home, a Bellicose Netanyahu Heads to the U.N. source

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel will take to the world stage while fighting for his political future in a critical national election.

    New York Times
  17. Israel's Netanyahu addresses U.N. as many leaders walk out source

    Benjamin Netanyahu focused on Iran, and on defending Israel's actions in Gaza and the West Bank amid condemnation from fellow leaders at the U.N.

    CBS News
  18. WATCH: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu addresses 2026 UN General Assembly source

    Netanyahu said attacking Iran "was one of the easiest decisions I've ever had to make" and denounced as "moral cowards" a mass of delegates who walked out of the U.N. General Assembly when he took the podium to speak.

    PBS
  19. Saudi Arabia Downs Houthi Missiles Targeting Kingdom, Official Says source

    The Iran-backed militia in Yemen fired six ballistic missiles at Saudi cities, a military spokesman said. It was a major cross-border attack.

    New York Times
  20. 8 sailors attempted suicide on Lincoln carrier group's long deployment, Navy leader says source

    Eight sailors attempted suicide while deployed with the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group, which spent a record-setting uninterrupted time at sea supporting the Iran war, the Navy's top civilian leader said this week.

    PBS
  21. Extended interview: Sen. Thom Tillis source

    Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina spoke with Tony Dokoupil on Thursday about President Trump's state dinner with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Chinese coordination with Iran, the Taiwan arms race and more.

    CBS News
  22. Watch: UN delegates walk out of Netanyahu speech source

    The Israeli delegation could be be seen cheering in support during Netanyahu's speech.

    BBC News
  23. News Wrap: Netanyahu calls allegations of genocide in Gaza 'the biggest lie' source

    In our news wrap Thursday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a fiery speech at the U.N. General Assembly and dismissed allegations of genocide in Gaza, eight people were killed in the latest barrage of Russian drones and missiles in Ukraine and Texas election officials are scrambling to clear a backlo

    PBS
  24. US Senate rejects resolution curbing Trump's Iran war powers source

    Reuters
  25. AI, trade, Iran and Taiwan top agenda at Trump-Xi summit source

    President Trump hosted Xi Jinping at the White House on the Chinese leader's first trip to Washington in more than 10 years. The pair held two meetings, and while the status of the press pool was still in doubt, they delivered remarks. Trump and the First Lady will host a State Dinner on Thursday. Nick Schifrin reports

    PBS
  26. Israel’s policies threaten ‘very existence’ of Palestinians, Abbas tells UN source

    Mahmoud Abbas says saving two-state solution begins with preserving Palestinian land, protecting those who live on it.

    Al Jazeera
  27. Delegates walk out of Netanyahu’s UN speech source

    Dozens of delegates walked out of the assembly hall as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu began his UN speech.

    Al Jazeera
  28. Abbas Presses Case for Palestinian State in Taped General Assembly Address source

    The Palestinian leader renewed his call for a two-state solution on Thursday, as he accused Israel of prosecuting “a genocidal war” against Palestinians.

    New York Times
  29. Israel moves to ban main Palestinian-led lists from election source

    Israel’s election panel has voted to disqualify the two main Palestinian-led lists from next month’s election.

    Al Jazeera
  30. Son of Israel's ambassador to U.S. critically injured in attack in occupied West Bank source

    The son of Israel's ambassador to the United States was gravely injured in a ramming attack in the occupied West Bank on Wednesday.

    PBS
  31. Iran sees air, land travel chaos as US sanctions bite source

    Flights between Iran and the United Arab Emirates have been suspended, following tighter US sanctions on Iran's aviation industry. The move effectively cuts Tehran off from Dubai, one of the region's most important commercial hubs. There are also huge backups near Iran's border with Turkey, as overland shipping routes

    France 24
  32. Senate narrowly votes down resolution calling for end to Iran war source

    The vote came weeks before the midterm election, where President Donald Trump's fellow Republicans are trying to retain their majorities in Congress.

    CNBC
  33. Macron says 'CIA did not ​inform French services' of possible Russian drone attacks source

    French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday denied a report by Spanish newspaper El Mundo that the US Central Intelligence Agency had warned European governments of possible Russian drone attacks from the Mediterranean. He also said in a primetime TV interview that France will send troops and defence systems to Saudi

    France 24
  34. Netanyahu blames ‘juvenile delinquents’ for violence in occupied West Bank source

    As spoke at the UN, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu downplayed settler violence in the occupied West Bank.

    Al Jazeera
  35. Commander rejected plans to rebase before deadly drone strike, sources say source

    Sources tell CBS News that despite warnings about the vulnerability of the outpost in Kuwait, a commander opted not to rebase farther from Iran.

    CBS News
  36. Dutch PM’s contrasting stance on ICC-wanted Putin, Netanyahu source

    Dutch PM Rob Jetten says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should be at the UNGA despite an ICC arrest warrant.

    Al Jazeera
  37. Oil prices back up as U.S. and Iran trade threats to expand 7-month war source

    As Iran responds to Trump's threat of annihilation with its own warning of a possible "new front" in the war, global oil prices are rising again.

    CBS News
  38. Trump and Xi hold critical talks at White House summit source

    US President Donald Trump welcomed Chinese President Xi Jinping to Washington for talks on trade, AI, Taiwan and Iran.

    Al Jazeera
  39. Pete Hegseth reports at least $3.1 million in cash, investments and bitcoin source

    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reported at least $3.1 million in assets as he faces an impeachment push in Congress over his handling of the Iran war.

    CNBC
  40. Iran awaiting response from Trump on proposal to open strait of Hormuz in six days source

    Country says US must lift sanctions on its oil exports and end the war on all fronts, including in LebanonIran said it has told Donald Trump it is willing to open the strait of Hormuz in six days, and to start talks on its nuclear program the day after, so long as the US lifts sanctions on Iran’s oil exports in return,

    The Guardian
  41. Benjamin Netanyahu attacks Israel’s enemies and allies in UN speech source

    Israeli prime minister denounces Iran, NYC Mayor Mamdani and critics accusing Israel of crimes against Palestinians.

    Al Jazeera
  42. Mortgage Rates Hit 7% as Iran War Fallout Crushes a Weak Housing Market source

    The average rate on a 30-year mortgage in the United States jumped to 7.03 percent, putting pressure on housing affordability.

    New York Times
  43. Susan Sarandon and Hannah Einbinder arrested at anti-Netanyahu protest in New York source

    Actors detained at Jewish Voice for Peace demonstration against Israeli prime minister’s address to the UN general assemblyOscar-winning actor Susan Sarandon and Hacks star Hannah Einbinder were among people detained by police in New York on Thursday as they moved in to break up a protest against Benjamin Netanyahu.Age

    The Guardian
  44. Saudi reports fresh Houthi attacks as France pledges to defend key oil port source

    Saudi Arabia intercepted Houthi ballistic missiles on Thursday after warning several regions, including Mecca, of possible attacks. France said it would send military assets to help protect the Saudi oil terminal at Yanbu. The strikes came amid renewed fighting in Yemen that has killed dozens, according to sources cite

    France 24
  45. Netanyahu Lashes Out at Foes in U.N. Speech, Including Mamdani source

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel lashed out at a litany of enemies but took particular verbal aim at Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

    New York Times
  46. Trump-Xi summit: Four key takeaways from the Washington, DC, meeting source

    Trump, Xi seek stable US-China ties at the White House, but differences over Iran, Taiwan and trade remain unresolved.

    Al Jazeera
  47. Live: Iran's President says US ‘must choose’ whether to end war source

    It is for the United States to choose whether to end its war in Iran as Tehran does not wish to continue fighting, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian told Fox News in an interview aired Thursday. Pezeshkian took a defiant stand at the UN Wednesday, for which he travelled to New York, telling the world that Iran would

    France 24
  48. Iran war live: Tehran wants Washington to re-enter MoU before US midterms source

    Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says Iran wants the US to return to the MoU by early November.

    Al Jazeera
  49. UAE bars Iranian airlines as US sanctions squeeze Iran’s aviation sector source

    UAE joins Oman, Iraq, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkmenistan in restricting access to Iranian airlines.

    Al Jazeera
  50. Netanyahu, Addressing U.N., Denounces Israel’s Critics as ‘Moral Cowards’ source

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also reserved some of his ire for the mayor of the city hosting him, Zohran Mamdani.

    New York Times
  51. Netanyahu defends Israeli military action as delegates walk out before UN speech source

    The Israeli leader labels those who left his speech at the UN General Assembly as "moral cowards".

    BBC News
  52. Mamdani Accuses Netanyahu of Spreading ‘Baseless Lies’ After U.N. Speech source

    The Israeli prime minister accused Mayor Zohran Mamdani, an outspoken critic of Israel, of antisemitism. The mayor has become a political foil for the prime minister.

    New York Times
  53. Iran Proposes 7-Day Plan to End War source

    Under the offer, the Strait of Hormuz would reopen and nuclear talks would be revived.

    New York Times
  54. Why the Gulf Wants Trump to Hold the Line on Iran source

    WSJ
  55. Trump praises US-China friendship at state dinner with Xi Jinping source

    The two superpowers seek greater dialogue despite differences over issues such as Iran, Taiwan, AI and trade.

    Al Jazeera
  56. U.N. Updates: Netanyahu Lashes Out at Critics and Underscores Threats to Israel source

    In a combative speech, the prime minister defended Israeli military action across the Middle East, and attacked Mayor Zohran Mamdani of New York. Dozens of delegates walked out of the hall as he took the podium.

    New York Times
  57. More than 100 arrested as New Yorkers protest Netanyahu’s UN visit source

    Demonstrators blocked streets and marched towards UN headquarters as the Israeli PM addressed world leaders at UNGA.

    Al Jazeera
  58. Contrasting treatment of Israel and Palestine on display at the UN source

    Israel’s Prime Minister addressed the UN General Assembly in person, despite having an ICC arrest warrant.

    Al Jazeera
  59. NYC police arrest Susan Sarandon, other celebrities protesting Netanyahu source

    Rights groups accuse UN of hosting a 'war criminal' as delegations walk out during Israeli prime minister's speech.

    Al Jazeera
  60. Saudi Arabia intercepts wave of Houthi missiles as oil climbs to one-week high source

    The ⁠Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said the missiles were ⁠aimed at Taif and the Yanbu area on the Red Sea, the main alternative route for Saudi oilSaudi Arabia says it intercepted six ballistic missiles fired by Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis, with the latest attacks pushing oil prices ⁠to a one-week high over fears of sp

    The Guardian
  61. Houthi advances in Yemen drive displacement, deepen humanitarian crisis source

    With more than 132,000 people already displaced by the latest fighting and Houthi territorial gains, Yemen is on the brink of slipping back into a full-fledged humanitarian emergency. DW spoke with people on the ground.

    DW
  62. France to Send Soldiers to Saudi Arabia to Help Secure Energy Sites source

    Attacks on Saudi cities on the Red Sea by the Iran-backed Houthi militia in Yemen have added to pressure on global oil supplies.

    New York Times
  63. Saudi, Turkish, Pakistani chiefs plan urgent talks amid Yemen fighting source

    Saudi Arabia, Turkiye and Pakistan move to deepen defence coordination as Houthi attacks and Yemen fighting intensify.

    Al Jazeera
  64. Oil prices jump after Yemen’s Houthis claim attacks on Saudi facilities source

    Brent crude tops $106 a barrel after Iran-aligned rebel group claims to have successfully attacked Aramco facilities.

    Al Jazeera
  65. Israeli football player sent off after gun-firing goal celebration source

    Israeli footballer Saied Abu Farchi has been sent off during a Nations League match after using a corner flag.

    Al Jazeera
  66. Iran says it's up to U.S. to end war as China presses for de-escalation source

    The remarks came as the Houthis launched a new wave of missile and drone attacks at Saudi targets Friday morning.

    CNBC
  67. UNGA Day 3: Netanyahu defends Israel as delegates walk out source

    Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called accusing Israel of genocide in Gaza the "greatest lie of the century." Many delegates walked out for his General Assembly speech. Mahmoud Abbas also spoke via video.

    DW
What to watch next
  • Whether the U.S. government changes its stance on the war following internal political pressure.
  • If France's military support for Saudi Arabia leads to a wider international involvement in the region.
  • The impact of new U.S. sanctions on Iran's economy and daily life.
What we don't know yet
  • What specific terms or conditions would be required for the U.S. and Iran to officially end the war.
  • How the humanitarian crisis in Yemen will be addressed as displacement continues to rise.

Written by AI from 10 news stories. Every point links to the story it came from. Updated 3h ago.

Analysis

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has stated that Tehran is open to ending the conflict, while the U.S. Senate recently voted down a resolution to withdraw from the war. As U.S. sanctions disrupt Iranian aviation and trade, regional tensions are escalating with new Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and increased humanitarian displacement in Yemen. Observers are now watching for potential shifts in U.S. policy ahead of the midterm elections and whether diplomatic pressure will impact the ongoing military engagements.

20 stories 20 outlets

5 stories say getting worse

Reported by several outlets

Forecast

Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?
No formal agreement reached 61%
Agreement or MoU signed 39%

Deadline Mar 25, 2027

Poll

What is the best way to reduce the risk of a wider Middle East war?

Poll

Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?

How the odds moved

Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?

Agreement or MoU signed 39%No formal agreement reached 61%

No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.

What would move the odds

These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.

  • Possible · not happened 55% chance
    GOP retains control in midterms If it happens: ↓ Agreement or MoU signed
    Will it happen by Mar 25?
  • Possible · not happened 40% chance
    UAE restores Iranian flight access If it happens: ↑ Agreement or MoU signed ↓ No formal agreement reached
    Will it happen by Mar 25?
  • Possible · not happened 30% chance
    Houthis and Saudis sign truce If it happens: ↑ Agreement or MoU signed ↓ No formal agreement reached
    Will it happen by Mar 25?
  • Possible · not happened 25% chance
    US issues aviation parts waiver If it happens: ↑ Agreement or MoU signed ↓ No formal agreement reached
    Will it happen by Mar 25?

Started at 39% / 61% on Sep 25. Each event can fire once.

Make your forecast
Scenarios to Mar 25, 2027

Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027?

Agreement or MoU signed 39%
No formal agreement reached 61%
Your call: 65%

Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.

Discussion

Ask @zoose anything about Iran conflict
  1. New forecast: Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or a new Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) by March 25, 2027? Starting odds: Agreement or MoU signed 39%, No formal agreement reached 61%.

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All coverage

PollIran conflict

What is the best way to reduce the risk of a wider Middle East war?

PollIran conflict

Should the US take military action if Iran moves closer to a nuclear weapon?